Some folks just never learn. As we watch the goings-on around the nation, it’s apparent that much of the political left, as well as the Republican establishment, still cannot figure out what happened in 2016 with the election of Donald Trump.
But, truth be known, the Trump grassroots conservative uprising had its roots in Mississippi 2014. And the experts got that race wrong, just as they did with Trump.
So why should we believe anything they say? We shouldn’t. But Sid Salter knows what’s going to happen in 2018, or so he says. If Chris McDaniel chooses to run against Roger Wicker, says Salter, he will surely lose.
Why? According to the well-known prognosticator, there are several reasons.
First, the level of outside spending won’t be there this time around because “the country’s political landscape is very different today than it was in 2014.”
Secondly, according to Salter, Wicker “is simply a different kind of incumbent” than Cochran because, unlike Gentleman Thad, Roger cut his teeth in local politics and is use to that “rough-and-tumble” world. Wicker is “more combative by nature than Cochran. He rather enjoys a fight and he fights to win.” Of course, what fight was worse than 2014 is beyond me.
Wicker is also “at the top of his game in every aspect,” says Salter, and has little to worry about. Wicker is tough and “rarely ignores a direct challenge.”
Of all these things Salter is certain. But two points here: One, everyone, including Salter, said the same thing about Cochran, that McDaniel had no chance at all, and we saw how that turned out.
Two, many of those reasons were also said of Hillary Clinton. As she found out, money matters not at all in today’s Internet/social media-driven world, there’s always someone tougher, and if you are wrong on the issues the people are upset about, then nothing else matters. And if Salter thinks the anger has died down on the right, just check the blogosphere.
But not everyone is so convinced. Charlie Mitchell, in a column just days before Salter, had a bit of a different take. As of today, writes Mitchell, “Wicker finds himself not nearly conservative enough. He’s extremely vulnerable and he knows it.” To keep his seat “he’ll have to add passion on hot-button issues.” We’ll see.
And although Mitchell and Salter seem to think McDaniel is gearing up to run against Wicker, no decision has been made, for Senator McDaniel’s options are many. But what we do know is that the same coalition that “defeated” McDaniel in 2014 – Liberal Democrats and the Republican Establishment – are at it again, hoping against hope that their punditry turns into prophesy, all while they lay plans to take down the state’s top conservative once again if he dares to enter the ring.
And how do we know this? There’s an on-going effort to make Roger Wicker relevant, as Salter mentioned in his piece and that I wrote about some months ago, and show how conservative he is. But the biggest news that the establishment might just be in a panic came this week, when it was discovered that Wicker is currently running a very negative, and very nasty, push poll against McDaniel.
So something’s up in the establishment world. If Wicker is unafraid, and so darned tough, why the back-slapping and nasty push-polling?
It’s obvious that they are getting nervous and it’s their side that will need all the luck they can get come 2018.