Democrats are so giddy about the potential of grabbing huge gains in the 2018 elections because of their perception of Trump’s weakness. Believing the President’s low approval ratings, which will turn out to be no more accurate than the polls that all but guaranteed a Clinton victory last November, the Left lives in a fantasy world with them back in power in Congress in 2018 and the White House in 2020.
But results on the ground where it counts, in actual elections, tell a different story. So far in every special congressional election in 2017 Democrats have not picked up a single seat.
And just this week in Mississippi House District 102, in a special election to fill Toby Barker’s seat in Hattiesburg, a Republican held the seat, even though President Trump carried the district by just 23 votes last November.
From the Republican Security Council:
GOP Wins Landslide Special Election Victory In A District Trump Carried By Just 23 Votes
The GOP has won a landslide victory in the special election to fill a vacancy in the Mississippi House of Representatives.
In November Trump carried the district by a 47.6% to 47.3% margin, and the difference between Trump and Clinton was just 23 votes.
In July, the Progressive Change Campaign Committee advertised the contest as a “pickup opportunity” for liberals.
Republican Missy McGee, who was a legislative assistant to former US Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-MS), has defeated social worker Kathryn Rehner (D) by a crushing 68-32 margin.
The liberal Daily Kos describes it as a surprising underperformance for Democrats.
McGee, 51, is the mother of two children and describes herself as a solid conservative.
She has an MA and is an instructor at the University of Southern Mississippi.
The seat became vacant when former Rep. Toby Barker was elected mayor of Hattiesburg.
From the Daily Kos:
Special Elections: On Tuesday night, Mississippi held an officially nonpartisan special election to fill its vacant 102nd State House District, which Missy McGee, a one-time aide former Sen Trent Lott, won by a crushing 68-32 margin over social worker Kathryn Rehner. McGee (unsurprisingly) had been supported by Republicans while Rehner was endorsed by the state Democratic Party, but neither candidate’s party label appeared on the ballot. That makes it difficult to compare this outcome with the results of last year’s presidential election, which our preliminary calculations say Donald Trump won 47.6-47.3, a margin of 23 votes.
That’s certainly still a rare underperformance for Democrats compared to their performance in traditional special elections in the Trump era, but it’s also one of the less surprising ones. In last month’s blanket primary, Rehner took just 25 percent of the vote while three other candidates who identified with the GOP, including McGee, combined for 75 percent. Those are exceptionally stiff odds to overcome. What’s more, the district’s prior GOP incumbent had always won re-election by giant margins (including by 45 percent in 2015, when this seat was last up), so this area has a history of supporting Republicans downballot even if it’s more flexible at the top of the ticket.
But here’s the real story: If Trump and the GOP was as bad as the mainstream media contends, then Democrats should have no trouble picking up every vacant seat across the country. But they are not winning anything. They are on the ropes!